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Presidential Poker: What Swing States Does Romney Need to Win?

Presidential Poker: What States Does Romney Need To Win?

November 1, 2012

As they say in poker, it ain’t over ‘til the last hand is dealt.  Such is the case, too, for the 2012 election.  The polling may be very close in key battleground states, but Romney’s [...]

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Republican Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney

This is NOT a close election: Romney’s chances worse than McCain, Kerry

October 3, 2012

Statistical Analysis:  This is NOT a close election: Romney’s chances worse than McCain, Kerry Tonight will be the first presidential election debate of 2012 and major news outlets are claiming that the campaign is a [...]

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Republican presidential candidate Former Massachusetts Governor Romney delivers an address titled, "Faith in America" at the George Bush Presidential Library in College Station

Romney’s Odds fall to 15% on Fox News Polling

September 20, 2012

The statistical odds of Mitt Romney winning the presidential election fell from 17% to 15% with the release of new polling by Fox News.  The polls show Romney trailing President Obama in the battleground states of [...]

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How Romney Could Win the Popular Vote but Lose the Election copy

Infographic: How Mitt Romney Could Win the Popular Vote but Lose the Election

September 10, 2012

Update: Infographic updated on October 18, 2012 to reflect new polling data. We launched an electoral vote model for the 2012 presidential election that calculates Mitt Romney’s probability of winning the presidency to be at [...]

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Expert FAQ: Should the U.S. Abolish the Electoral College System?

August 30, 2012

On Friday, Al Gore called for the end of the electoral college system, arguing that the presidency should be decided based upon the popular vote. It’s possible – though unlikely – that come November’s election, [...]

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