Update: Infographic updated on October 18, 2012 to reflect new polling data. We launched an electoral vote model for the 2012 presidential election that calculates Mitt Romney’s probability of winning the presidency to be at [...]
The latest polling data combined with historical accuracy of polls indicates that Republican Mitt Romney’s chances of beating Barack Obama and winning the 2012 presidential election have improved from 18% before the Republican National Convention [...]
Two political economists at the University of Colorado recently published an analysis of the 2012 Presidential Election that predicted Romney would win. The model looked at many economic variables and claimed this model would have [...]