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Election Infographic: Romney’s Odds of Winning at 30% Heading Into the Final Weeks

Oct. 19, 2012
Personal Finance
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by Susan Lyon

As we head into the final weeks of the race, the polling is all over the place.  Some claim Romney is up, others claim he’s down.  How accurate is all this polling shaping up to be?

(See NerdWallet’s official Nerds’ Final Presidential Debate Drinking Game here.)

It seems a lot less clear than just a few months ago who will win the Presidency, but only one number matters: 270 votes NerdWallet’s continually updated statistical election model gives Romney 30% odds of winning, based on the historical accuracy of polling in the key battleground states he’ll need to win to rack up the necessary 270 electoral votes.