The news has been the same for years: More money is flowing out of actively managed investment funds and into passively managed funds.
In 2016, investors pulled $285 billion out of active funds, while pushing nearly $429 billion into passive ones — and this year is seeing a similar shift, according to Morningstar. Deutsche Bank estimates passive funds will have as much total money as active ones within a few years.
So why are investors so gaga over going passive?
The short answer: A passive approach leads to better overall returns, and it’s quicker and easier than researching and picking stocks. Here’s why passive investing may work for you, and how you can start investing passively with a robo-advisor without having to know much about the stock market.
Difference between active and passive
There are two broad approaches to investing: active and passive.
- Active investors research and follow companies closely, and buy and sell stocks based on their view of the future. This is a typical approach for professionals or those who can devote a lot of time to research and trading.
- Passive investors buy a basket of stocks, and buy more or less regularly, regardless of how the market is faring. This approach requires a long-term mindset that disregards the market’s daily fluctuations.
Similarly, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds can take an active or passive approach.
- Active fund managers are buying and selling every day based on their research, trying to ferret out stocks that can beat the market averages
- In contrast, passive fund managers are content to be the market average, hitching themselves to a preset index of investments, such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 index of large companies or others
And investors can mix and match. They can be active traders of passive funds, betting on the rise and fall of the market, rather than buying and holding like a true passive investor. Conversely, passive investors can hold actively managed funds, expecting that a good money manager can beat the market.
Passive investing tends to deliver
About 83% to 95% of active money managers fail to beat their benchmark’s returns in any given year; they bet against the Dow Jones industrial average, and the Dow won. With so many pros swinging and missing, many individual investors have concluded that “if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.” They’ve increasingly opted for passive investment funds made up of a preset index of stocks or other securities.
Passive funds buy and sell stocks mechanically. Investors in passive funds are paying for computer and software to move money, rather than a high-priced professional. So passive funds typically have lower expense ratios, or the annual cost to own a piece of the fund. Those lower costs are another factor in the better returns for passive investors.
Funds built on the S&P 500 index, which mostly tracks the largest American companies, are among the most popular passive investments. If they buy and hold, investors will earn close to the market’s long-term average return — about 10% annually — meaning they’ll beat nearly all professional investors with little effort and lower cost. An active fund manager’s experience can translate into higher returns, but passive investing, even by novice investors, consistently beats all but the top players.
That hardly sounds like “settling” for a passive approach. In fact, billionaire investor Warren Buffett recommends buying low-cost S&P 500 index funds regularly as the best option for regular investors.
While S&P 500 index funds are the most popular, index funds can be constructed around many categories. For example, there are indexes composed of medium-sized and small companies. Other funds are categorized by industry, geography and almost any other popular niche, such as socially responsible companies or “green” companies.
While some passive investors like to pick funds themselves, many choose automated robo-advisors to build and manage their portfolios. These online advisors typically use low-cost ETFs to keep expenses down, and they make investing as easy as transferring money to your robo-advisor account.
But you have to stay put
To get the market’s long-term return, however, passive investors have to actually stay passive and hold their positions (and ideally adding more money to their portfolios at regular intervals).
For most investors, the first step toward being active can mean taking a bite out of their potential returns. Investors are tempted to:
- Sell after their investments have gone down in value
- Buy after their investments have gone up in value
- Stop buying funds after the market has declined
Even active fund managers whose job is to outperform the market rarely do. It’s unlikely that an amateur investor, with fewer resources and less time, will do better.
In the chart above, you can see how a passive S&P 500 indexing approach compares with the performance of all stock funds (both active and passive) during various periods over the past 30 years, as measured by Dalbar, an independent evaluator of financial performance. A passive approach using an S&P index fund does better on average than an active approach.
To read a short case study on how active investors followed Peter Lynch, one of the world’s top investors, and still lost money, click below on the sidebar.
Let’s break it all down in a chart comparing the two approaches for an investor looking to buy a stock mutual fund that’s either active or passive.
|Active fund||Passive fund|
|* Over a 30-year period, per Dalbar’s 22nd Annual Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, 2016
**ICI Research Perspective, May 2017
|Returns||3.7%*||About 10% over time, the market average|
|Expenses||High, at 0.82%**||Low, at 0.09%**|
|Objective||Beat the market’s returns||Be the market’s returns|
In the end, passively investing in passive funds looks like the winner for most investors.
Perhaps the easiest way to start investing passively is through a robo-advisor, which automates the process based on your investing goals, time horizon and other personal factors. The robo-advisor selects the funds to invest in. Many advisors keep your investments balanced and minimize taxable gains in various ways.
Almost all you have to do is open an account and seed it with money. And then back away.
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