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Newfoundland mortgage rate update: September 2024
Mortgage rates in Newfoundland got a little better on September 4, when the Bank of Canada announced its third consecutive 25-basis point cut to the overnight rate. Once lenders apply the reduction to their prime rates, variable mortgage rates will decline by 0.25%.
That’s not a lot, so it’s not as if the Bank of Canada just made things easy for Newfoundland mortgage shoppers. Post-cut, variable mortgage rates will still be around 5.9% at most of the country’s biggest banks, though you might find something closer to 5.25% if you use a mortgage broker.
Variable rates might be high, but if you’re comfortable with committing to a three- or five-year term, fixed rates provide a much cheaper alternative. As of September 4, 2024, some brokers were offering three-year fixed rates for below 4.5% and five-year fixed rates for less than 4.25%.
Based on current activity in the government bond market, fixed rates aren’t likely to swing one way or the other in the near future. But lenders are in a competitive/desperate mood these days, so you might be surprised by the fixed rate you’re offered.
Historical trend: New mortgage loans in Newfoundland
The average mortgage rate in Newfoundland
There isn’t a single average mortgage rate for Newfoundland and Labrador. Even if you could access all the current mortgage rates on offer, it wouldn’t be much help. That’s because any mortgage offer you receive is always specific to you. Lenders take into account multiple factors, such as credit score, the type of mortgage and the amount needed.
Think about the “average mortgage rate” the way you would average home price. It’s interesting data to have, but it’s not necessarily relevant to your own home buying journey.
2024 Newfoundland mortgage rate forecast
Variable mortgage rates
After the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower its overnight rate on July 24, variable mortgage rates continue shrinking. A reduction in the overnight rate typically leads to an identical decline in lenders’ variable rates.
How many times variables dip in the last half of 2024 remains to be seen. The Bank of Canada will be cautious about cutting the overnight rate too quickly, which could trigger another rise in inflation. Another two modest cuts by year end is a reasonable expectation.
Fixed mortgage rates
Because they’re determined by the government bond market, which is driven by investors’ decisions, fixed mortgage rates can be difficult to project over the long-term.
Prior to August 2024’s stock market turbulence, analysts weren’t expecting fixed mortgage rates to fall drastically before the end of 2024. But three-year bond yields quickly sank to their lowest point since April 2022, five-year yields dipped lower than they’ve been in over a year, and fixed mortgage rates edged below 4.3% in some cases. None of this was predicted.
Barring any more investor panic attacks, fixed rates should stay comfortably above 4% for the rest of the year.
Newfoundland housing market update: August 2024
After flatlining in June, real estate activity in Newfoundland came back to life in July. Home sales for July 2024 were up almost 16% year-over-year, according to the Newfoundland and Labrador Real Estate Association. Sales increased by 34.7% in St. John’s and by 8.7% in the rest of the province.
Dwindling housing stock remains an issue in Newfoundland. Active listings in July were 35.2% below the 10-year average for the month. That lack of supply is naturally leading to higher home prices. The average residential sale price in Newfoundland was $325,243 in July, a new record for the month and almost 7% higher than a year ago.
Newfoundland home sales and price forecast
Many Canadians wonder how the Bank of Canada’s rate cuts will affect the housing market. Will it compel buyers who have been cautiously watching from the sidelines, or will they continue to wait, hoping that rate cuts are just getting started? These are the questions real estate experts — and home buyers — will be watching through the end of 2024.
A report released by real estate company Royal LePage forecasts home prices increasing 9% in the last three months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. A report from the Canadian Real Estate Association stated that listings are up this summer compared to 2023 but still below historical averages.
Newfoundland first-time home buyer programs
First-time home buyers who’ve already been pre-approved for a mortgage can apply to a government program to receive grants of up to $1,500 plus a repayable loan of up to 5% of the home’s purchase price. The interest rate on the loaned amount is capped at the prime rate minus one percent, which is likely to be less than market rates. To be eligible, your household income can’t exceed $95,000, and your home price must fall under the limit, which varies by location.
Land transfer taxes in Newfoundland
Newfoundland doesn’t have land transfer taxes, but you’ll pay a fee to register your mortgage. The fee is $100 plus $0.40 for every $100 of your home’ value above $500.
Calculators to inform your home buying decisions
Guide to Newfoundland mortgage rates
Types of lenders in Newfoundland
Mortgage lenders in Newfoundland tend to fall into four categories, which include:
- Large chartered banks such as Scotiabank, RBC and TD.
- Credit unions such as Venture Credit Union and Atlantic Edge Credit Union.
- B lenders that work with borrowers with lower credit scores, such as MCAN and Equitable Bank.
- Private lenders, who typically deal with borrowers in need of short-term funding.
Types of mortgages in Newfoundland
Fixed-rate mortgages
The interest rate stays the same for the duration of the mortgage term in a fixed-rate mortgage, even if the market fluctuates. Fixed rates typically:
- Are higher than variable interest rates.
- Provide a greater sense of certainty. You can count on it remaining stable for the length of the mortgage term.
Variable-rate mortgages
Variable mortgage rates increase or decrease whenever your lender’s prime rate increases or decreases. Variable-rate mortgages typically have rates that:
- Can be lower than fixed rates at the time you apply for mortgages. Variable rates can save borrowers money over the length of their mortgage — but only if rates remain the same or fall.
- Can increase throughout a mortgage term. When interest rates go up, the monthly payment on a variable-rate mortgage can become more expensive.
» MORE: The difference between fixed- and variable-rate mortgages
Hybrid-rate mortgages
A portion of your mortgage is subject to a variable rate and another portion is at a fixed rate of interest. These mortgages:
- Can dampen the impact of fluctuating interest rates in a particularly turbulent or uncertain economy.
- Tend to be more difficult to transfer between lenders.
Insured and uninsured mortgages
If you buy a home for under $1 million, and your down payment is under 20%, you must insure your mortgage. Mortgage insurance adds to the cost of your loan. The cost of insurance equals a percentage of your mortgage, and the percentage depends on your down payment. The closer it is to 20%, the smaller your insurance payment is.
Homes worth $1 million or more require a down payment of at least 20%, so insurance is not required.
Short-term and long-term mortgages
Short-term mortgages last five years or less. Long-term mortgages last over five years. With a shorter mortgage, you’ll need to renew sooner, which can provide flexibility. Short-term mortgages often have lower interest rates than long-term mortgage rates.
Closed and open mortgages
The primary difference between closed and open mortgages is that you can pay off an open mortgage whenever you like and not pay a penalty. If you have a closed mortgage and make additional payments, you’ll generally be penalized.
Closed mortgages often offer better rates than open mortgages. But open rate mortgages may be a good option if you think you may be able to pay off your mortgage early.
» MORE: Open vs. closed mortgages
How Newfoundland lenders determine mortgage rates
The mortgage rate you’re offered by a lender in Newfoundland will be based on two primary factors; one depends on the state of the economy, the other on your financial situation.
Economic factors
Variable mortgage rates are influenced by the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. When the overnight rate increases or decreases, a lender’s prime rate follows suit. Variable mortgage rates are based on a lender’s prime rate, so as the prime rate rises or falls, so do variable rates.
Fixed mortgage rates are determined by activity in the government bond market, particularly the yields on one-, three- and five-year bonds. Fixed mortgage rates follow the movement of those yields.
Your financial situation
Factors specific to you also affect the rates you’re offered. These include:
- Your credit score.
- Your income.
- Your total debts.
- The loan type you choose.
- The amount you’re borrowing.
- The term length and amortization period of your loan.
Lenders look for signs of risk when assessing these aspects of your finances. The riskier they perceive you to be as a borrower, the higher the rate they’re likely to offer you.
How to qualify for a lower mortgage rate in Newfoundland
Some factors behind rates are beyond your control, but there are steps you can take to possibly qualify for the best mortgage rates. For example, you can:
- Improve your credit score. A higher credit score generally results in better offers. Get a better score by eliminating existing debt and paying future bills in full and on time.
- Increase your income. It’s not always easy, but any additional income will improve your financial position. Lenders look at your income to assess your ability to afford a mortgage.
- Decrease your total debts. Pay down personal loans, student loans or other types of debts. Lenders consider your total debt load when determining the details of your loan.
- Consider all your options. See if adjusting the loan type, the term length or the amortization period of your loan could help.
Factors that affect mortgage affordability in Newfoundland
A home’s price and the rate you’re offered aren’t the only factors that affect how much mortgage you can afford. You’ll also have to account for the following components, which play a role in all mortgages.
Debt service ratios
Lenders use debt service ratios to determine how much of your income goes toward paying debt. If those ratios are too high, you may not qualify for the mortgage amount you need.
Car loans, credit cards and lines of credit are all examples of debt that require regular payments. Decreasing some of these balances, or relying less heavily on credit, can help you lower your debt service ratios.
The mortgage stress test
You will have to pass the mortgage stress test if you want a home purchase funded by a federally regulated financial institution.
The rules of the stress test say you must qualify for a mortgage at a minimum qualifying rate of either 5.25% or the rate you’re offered plus 2%, whichever is higher. If a lender offers you a rate of 5%, for example, you’ll have to demonstrate you can afford the same mortgage at 7%.
You may be able to avoid the stress test if you apply for a mortgage with a lender that is not federally regulated, like a credit union.
Your down payment
Your down payment is a critically important factor in determining mortgage affordability. The more you can put down, the less you’ll need to borrow. Your monthly mortgage payment will likely be smaller, and you’ll pay less in interest.
Mortgage term
The term is the length of time your mortgage contract is valid. In Canada, mortgage terms can run anywhere from six months to as long as 10 years.
Chances are that your mortgage will have multiple terms during the amortization period until you pay it off in full. Once your mortgage term ends, you can pay your loan off in full, renew it or refinance it.
Amortization period
A mortgage’s amortization period is the time it will take to pay off the loan in full. In Canada, the most common amortization period is 25 years. If your down payment is less than 20%, you can’t have an amortization beyond 25 years.
If your down payment is greater than 20%, you may find some lenders willing to offer amortization periods of up to 35 years.
Why would you want a longer amortization period? The longer your mortgage lasts, the smaller your monthly payment will be. You’ll pay more in interest, but that might be a worthwhile trade-off if it helps you keep your home.
How to compare mortgages from Newfoundland lenders
Use APR for greater accuracy
The annual percentage rate (APR) includes fees and closing costs the lender may charge in addition to the interest rate. A lender offering the lowest rate may actually have a higher APR due to those additional costs. Comparing APRs is the easiest way to see the complete cost of each offer.
Compare similar mortgages
For a comparison to be useful, the mortgages should have the same term, amortization period and payment frequency.
When looking for the best mortgage rates in Saskatchewan, also consider:
- Mortgage type.
- Ease of application.
- Prepayment penalties.
- Customer service.
- Any other fees not included in the APR.
You can also compare mortgage rates in other provinces to get a sense of how the rate you’ve been offered in Newfoundland and Labrador stacks up:
Mortgage shopping is about more than just the interest rate
A low mortgage rate is usually a primary objective for buyers, but getting the lowest rate doesn’t necessarily mean you’re getting the best mortgage for your needs.
For example, you might opt for a fixed rate, which has a higher rate than a variable rate, if you’re uncomfortable with the risk of rates rising. Or, if you expect to come into a sizable sum of money soon (via an inheritance, for example), paying a higher rate for an open mortgage, which allows you to pay it off early without penalties, could be worth it.
Frequently asked questions for Newfoundland mortgage rates
As of September 2024, you could find fixed mortgage rates for under 4.6% in Newfoundland, but most variable mortgage rates are over 5.5%. The rate offers you receive depend on factors like your credit score, total debt level and income.
Variable mortgage rates began declining on June 5, when the Bank of Canada lowered its overnight rate. Variable rates might dip another two or three times this year, likely by 25 basis points each time. Fixed mortgage rates were relatively stable for the second quarter of 2024 and should stay in the 4-5% range for the rest of the yar.
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