Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

Mortgage rates were flat this week at 6.14% APR, but new jobs and inflation data point toward possible downward movement ahead.

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Average mortgage rates hovered near 6% for the past seven weeks, and the 30-year fixed rate averaged 6.02% APR for the week ending Jan. 8. With the next Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for late January and most analysts expecting no change to the federal funds rate, lenders may not see their funding costs shifting much — a setup that points to mortgage rates staying flat for now.

That outlook lines up with what markets are seeing in recent economic data. December’s jobs report showed slower hiring alongside a dip in unemployment, leaving investors without a clear signal on where the economy is headed next.

January mortgage rates forecast

Several Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak ahead of the Jan. 27–28 meeting, though much of that commentary may be overshadowed by questions around the Fed’s independence following recent Justice Department subpoenas involving Chair Jerome Powell. With mortgage rates likely to stay fairly steady, homeowners thinking about refinancing may still find opportunities, even without a big market shift.

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