Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

Mortgage rates fell this week as the Fed shifted its focus from inflation to unemployment, cutting rates again and opening a refinancing window for homeowners — though that opportunity may not last long.

October Mortgage Outlook: Beware Rising Rates

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Written by 
Senior Writer/Spokesperson
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Edited by 
Head of Content, Home Loans

Mortgage rates dipped again this week, with the average 30-year fixed falling to 6.01% APR, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow.

That’s the lowest level in more than a year, helped by the Federal Reserve’s second short-term rate cut in as many months. The Fed has shifted from fighting inflation to supporting jobs, and investors reacted early — pushing mortgage rates down ahead of each move. With the 30-year average now more than a full percentage point below its late-spring peak, some homeowners finally have a chance to refinance into something more affordable.

A 6% mortgage rate might not sound like a steal, but dropping from 7% to 6% can save hundreds a month — and more than $80,000 over the life of a typical loan. Homeowners who bought in 2023 or early 2024 may benefit most. Still, the window could close fast: rates ticked up after Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that another cut in December isn’t guaranteed. If you’ve been waiting to refinance, now’s the time to compare offers before the market shifts again.

November Mortgage Rates Forecast

Financial markets are betting that the Federal Reserve will keep easing policy, with at least one more rate cut possible before year’s end. If that happens, mortgage rates could edge lower — but as always, nothing is guaranteed until the Fed makes its move.

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
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on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

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NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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620

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3%

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on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
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on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

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New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

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on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
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on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

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GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

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620

Min. down payment 
3%

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on GO Mortgage

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
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on Rocket Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage

4.5

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Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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Min. credit score 
580

Min. down payment 
3.5%

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on Rocket Mortgage

Veterans United - PURCHASE logo
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on Veterans United

Veterans United

5.0

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Veterans United - PURCHASE logo

5.0

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Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
0%

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