Current U.S. Inflation Rate is 2.9%: Why It Matters

Inflation rose in the 12 months ending August 2025, bringing the current inflation rate to 2.9%.

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Updated · 4 min read
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Today's inflation rate

The current U.S. inflation rate is 2.9% for the 12-month period ending in August 2025. The consumer price index (CPI), which measures changes in prices, increased 0.4% from the previous month, according to the latest release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer Price Index Summary. Accessed Sep 11, 2025.
.

The index for shelter rose 0.4% over the month and was the primary factor in the all items index increase. The energy index increased 0.7%, gasoline increased 1.9% and food increased 0.5% over the month. The next monthly update will be released on October 15, 2025.

What is inflation?

Inflation is the rate at which the price of goods and services increases. As a result of inflation, the purchasing power (value) of money decreases over time. Inflation affects the prices of everything around us.

Generally speaking, a number of factors can cause inflation. The recent surge in inflation has been driven, at least in part, by supply chain issues, a housing crisis, pent-up consumer demand and economic stimulus from the pandemic.

Historical U.S. inflation rates

The chart below reflects the inflation rate for all items, as well as the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices ("core" inflation).

The Federal Open Market Committee, the arm of the U.S. central bank that makes decisions about managing the nation’s money supply, targets a 2% rate of inflation over time

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The Origins of the 2 Percent Inflation Target. Accessed Sep 11, 2025.
.

The prices of different goods and services can rise at different rates. For instance, education and health care costs are generally subject to higher inflation rates than the average inflation rate.

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Types of inflation

There are many types of inflation, characterized by either a root cause or the rate of increase:

  • Cost-push. A common cause of inflation is when the costs of producing goods and services increase and push prices higher. This can happen when prices of raw materials or labor costs rise.

  • Demand-pull. Another cause of inflation is when the demand for goods and services outstrips what can be produced at the time, making prices go up.

  • Deflation. The opposite of inflation — a negative inflation rate or a drop in prices of goods and services.

  • Disinflation. A falling rate of inflation or slowdown in the rise in prices of goods and services.

  • Reflation. A way to curb deflation, when a government purposely stimulates the economy by increasing the money supply or government spending — such as the COVID stimulus payments. Reflation can also happen when a government lowers interest rates.

  • Creeping. Low or mild inflation with prices rising less than 3% a year.

  • Walking (trotting). Prices rise moderately, but the annual inflation rate stays in the single digits.

  • Running (galloping). Prices increase significantly into the double digits, above 10% a year.

  • Hyperinflation. Extraordinary inflation spiraling out of control, over 1,000% a year.

  • Stagflation. High inflation even during an economic downturn.

How to measure inflation

One commonly used inflation metric is the consumer price index, or CPI, calculated by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer Price Index. Accessed Sep 11, 2025.
. The bureau measures CPI by monitoring the average change in prices paid for a variety of goods and services, classified by eight groups: food, housing, apparel, medical care, recreation, transportation, education and communication, and other goods and services.

There are other metrics that tell us about the inflation story, such as the personal consumption expenditures price index. PCE is calculated by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, which also prices a different basket of goods and services from the CPI basket.

You might hear of inflation described as headline or core. Headline inflation measures total inflation for a certain time period. Core inflation attempts to pinpoint a more accurate read on inflation by excluding food and energy prices, which can fluctuate widely on a daily basis.

Why inflation matters

The effects of inflation are felt throughout an economy. As prices rise, what you can buy now will lessen over time. Being able to combat, or at least keep up with, inflation and sustain the purchasing power of your money is one of the main reasons to invest your money.

Consumers care about inflation because it affects costs and their standard of living. Businesses carefully watch the price of raw materials that go into their products, as well as what wages they need to pay their employees. Inflation affects taxes, government spending and programs, the level of interest rates and more.

A low, steady or predictable level of inflation is considered positive for an economy. It signals growth and healthy demand for goods and services.

As businesses generate more goods and services to keep up with demand, they need to hire more workers, which generally leads to higher employment and wage growth. Those workers then purchase things they need and want, and the cycle continues. However, when inflation gets too high or too low, it becomes dangerous because it’s hard to keep supply and demand, along with economic growth, in check.

This brings us to the importance of investing. Although you’ll earn interest from the bank on money in your savings account, the interest rate you receive usually won't match or even come close to beating the inflation rate. That’s why it can make sense to invest your money if you can afford to and grow that money’s value over time. That way, you can buy the same amount of goods and services in the future.

When creating a plan to reach your financial goals, it’s important to bake in a realistic inflation rate for future expenses so you’re saving enough to meet your needs.

How to protect against inflation

Avoid hoarding cash

To make sure your money doesn’t lose too much value, it’s important to invest and not keep too much money in cash. Inflation means your money will probably buy less over time, so consider investing the money you don’t intend to use in the next three to five years so that you can avoid a decrease in purchasing power.

Diversify your portfolio

Another way to prepare for inflation is by having a well-diversified investment portfolio. Diversification, when you spread your investments across asset classes (stocks, bonds, cash, real estate, etc.), various industries and countries, helps enhance investment returns while simultaneously reducing risk, such as from inflation.

There are certain investments that are more inflation-tolerant than others or rise together with inflation, Eric Leve, chartered financial analyst and chief investment officer of Bailard, a wealth management firm in San Francisco, said in an email.

Leve recommends including some of these natural inflation hedges as part of your overall portfolio to help defend against inflationary times, such as:

  • Real assets. Assets such as gold, silver or real estate, which may retain value or provide pricing power, may help withstand inflation. For example, landlords sometimes raise rents as inflation rises.

  • Stocks. Especially stocks with proven earnings growth and low debt. Interest rates tend to rise with inflation, causing companies with high debt to face higher payments.

  • Treasury Inflation-Protected securities. During inflationary times, rising interest rates negatively impact traditional bonds because bond prices and interest rates have an inverse relationship. TIPs are a type of bond indexed directly to CPI meant to help investors preserve purchasing power; I bonds are another option tied to inflation.

Have a strategy

Making sure your investments are set up to safeguard against inflation is important, and there are many factors to consider. Seeking a second opinion from a financial advisor can be useful to ensure that you’re on the right track and have prepared your portfolio to weather all seasons of varying economic environments.

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