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Travel Inflation Report: March 2026
Travel prices overall are up compared to this time last year, driven by flight, entertainment and dining costs.
Sally French is co-host of the Smart Travel podcast and a writer on NerdWallet's travel team. Before joining NerdWallet as a travel rewards expert in 2020, she wrote about travel and credit cards for The New York Times and its sibling site, Wirecutter.
Outside of work, she loves fitness, and she competes in both powerlifting and weightlifting (she can deadlift more than triple bodyweight). Naturally, her travels always involve a fitness component, including a week of cycling up the coastline of Vietnam and a camping trip to the Arctic Circle, where she biked over the sea ice. Other adventures have included hiking 25 miles in one day through Italy's Cinque Terre and climbing the 1,260 steps to Tiger Cave Temple in Krabi, Thailand.
Benjamin Din is a lead travel writer at NerdWallet. He previously was a technology reporter at Politico, where he authored a daily newsletter covering tech and telecom policy.
Benjamin loves to travel — both for work and for fun. He’s reported from three continents and visited more than 45 countries. He has written for The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Washington Post, The San Francisco Chronicle and The (Johannesburg) Star, as well as covered two Olympics with NBC Sports.
His goal is to visit a new country and a new state each year.
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A spike in airfares is driving overall travel costs up year-over-year, marking the largest increase in travel costs in more than a year.
Average U.S. travel costs are 3% higher compared to this time in 2025, according to NerdWallet's Travel Price Index, which combines data from individual travel categories tracked by the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) Consumer Price Index, such as airfares, lodging, meals and rental cars.
Airfare costs are up 7.1% over the past year, while the cost of eating out and entertainment are up 3.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Of all the categories the index tracks, only lodging prices declined year-over-year, with a 2.2% decrease. To help put those numbers in perspective, overall prices for the past 12 months through February 2026 rose 2.4% before seasonal adjustment, according to BLS data.
Prices are higher based on the data versus last year, but travelers can take advantage of some smart moves to reduce the price of their next trip. Check out our money-saving travel suggestions below.
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Travel costs today vs. pre-pandemic
The Travel Price Index shows a 3% change in travel prices from February 2025. That's the highest year-over-year increase since the three-month period from November 2024 to January 2025.
Relative to pre-pandemic prices, February 2026 travel costs are up 16% versus February 2020 (the last full equivalent month before the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic). That's far lower than the 26.3% price increase across all items.
Not every product experiences inflation at the same rate — especially when it comes to travel. Some trips might actually be more or less expensive than in the past, depending on if you're driving versus flying, if you’re staying in a hotel and whether it involves a rental car.
To help you better understand how travel prices have changed, NerdWallet honed in on five categories:
Airfare.
Car rentals.
Food away from home.
Hotels.
Movies, theaters and concerts.
NerdWallet then compared those costs to prices from one month and one year earlier.
And to broaden the perspective, the data also compares today’s prices to prices 10 years ago. Here’s what today’s travel prices look like:
How airfares have changed
When comparing February 2026 prices to February 2025, U.S. airfares are up by 7.1%.
If you zoom out, the outlook is not as bleak: Compared to prices 10 years ago, airfares are actually down by 1.0%. It's pretty unheard of for prices to drop over that period of time, especially considering that the prices for all items tracked by BLS are up 37.4% over that same period.
How airfare prices have changed
February 2026 vs. January 2026 (MoM)
Up 3.5%.
February 2026 vs. February 2025 (YoY)
Up 7.1%.
February 2026 vs. February 2016 (Change over the past 10 years)
Down 1.0%.
So if airfares are down over the past decade, why do they feel so high? There are a few reasons, including unbundling, where airlines advertise lower fares (often in the form of basic economy seats that offer few frills).
Those low base fares typically come with upcharges in the form of ancillary fees to check bags, to guarantee an aisle seat or to secure early boarding. Those extra prices are not captured in this data — despite it still impacting one’s travel budget.
The biggest storyline impacting airfares right now is the Iran war, which has caused oil prices to surge. In the event of prolonged conflict, consumers should expect airfares to rise as airlines face increased costs. This could also drive further airline consolidation, especially for low-cost carriers that are struggling financially and unable to take further hits to their bottom lines.
Whenever airlines merge, go out of business or even pull out of key markets, that usually translates to less competition on certain routes. These situations give other airlines more pricing power to charge higher fares on certain routes.
How hotel room rates have changed
Average U.S. hotel and motel room rates are down by 2.2% over the past year — the index's only travel spending category that showed a decrease. That's good news for travelers, as it means they can generally expect to pay less for the same hotel room this year than they did last year.
Compared to 10 years ago, travelers may be feeling the pinch though, as hotel room rates are up 17.4% over the past decade. However, that's still a good deal less than the 38.0% increase across all items.
How lodging prices have changed
February 2026 vs. January 2026 (MoM)
Up 4.6%.
February 2026 vs. February 2025 (YoY)
Down 2.2%.
February 2026 vs. February 2016 (Change over the past 10 years)
Up 17.4%.
How rental car prices have changed
High rental car prices were one of the biggest stories of pandemic-era travel. Since then, prices have come down — although they remain much higher compared to before the pandemic.
Rental car prices are up 2.7% compared to the year prior.
How car rental prices have changed
February 2026 vs. January 2026 (MoM)
Up 3.6%.
February 2026 vs. February 2025 (YoY)
Up 2.7%.
February 2026 vs. February 2016 (Change over the past 10 years)
Up 20.6%.
How restaurant prices have changed
Food prices consistently rise nearly every month, and in February 2026, the cost of food away from home was up 3.9% versus a year prior.
The cost of dining out has increased dramatically in the past decade, with February 2026 prices 50.5% higher than what they were 10 years ago. That's higher than the 38.0% inflation rate across all items, meaning restaurant prices have risen more than many other categories of goods.
How restaurant prices have changed
February 2026 vs. January 2026 (MoM)
Up 0.3%.
February 2026 vs. February 2025 (YoY)
Up 3.9%.
February 2026 vs. February 2016 (Change over the past 10 years)
Up 50.5%.
How the price of movies, theaters and concerts has changed
Tickets for movies, theaters and concerts are also rising faster than the average rate of inflation, up by 5.5% over the past year. With the cost of dining and entertainment outpacing the rate of inflation, that could suggest that Americans are prioritizing experiences over physical things.
How the prices of movies, theaters and concerts have changed
February 2026 vs. January 2026 (MoM)
Up 0.7%.
February 2026 vs. February 2025 (YoY)
Up 5.5%.
February 2026 vs. February 2016 (Change over the past 10 years)
Up 42.3%.
Smart money move: Use travel rewards cards to book
Paying for travel with points and miles versus cash isn’t as daunting a task as it may seem. Frequent flyer miles and hotel points can be accrued not just for recurring travel, but through other outlets as well. Credit card rewards and welcome bonuses can be one of the most popular ways to accrue a big stash of points for a lot less effort than living your life out of a suitcase.
In addition, travel credit cards can offer various money-saving perks, like:
NerdWallet's ratings are determined by our editorial team. The scoring formula takes into account the type of card being reviewed (such as cash back, travel or balance transfer) and the card's rates, fees, rewards and other features.
NerdWallet's ratings are determined by our editorial team. The scoring formula takes into account the type of card being reviewed (such as cash back, travel or balance transfer) and the card's rates, fees, rewards and other features.
If you’re building your next vacation budget based on how much you've spent in the past, you might need to factor in spending more on certain categories that are trending up in price. Fortunately, you can still save on travel with a little planning.
When it comes to airfare, you might be better off booking those flights sooner rather than later. Keep in mind that while basic economy fares are cheaper, they come with additional restrictions that may be costly in case your plans change.
To avoid the costs of eating out, head to local grocery stores — which can be a fun activity on its own — or pack snacks from home. While in an airport, head to the lounge. Many credit cards have partnerships with airport lounge networks (Priority Pass is a popular one) where you can typically expect complimentary snacks and drinks.
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Methodology
NerdWallet conducted an analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index data released by the U.S. Department of Labor, which was most recently updated in March 2026 and measures prices of items like travel, groceries and cars. Some prices change more than others.
Keep in mind, this data is based on February 2026 information, even though it is released in March 2026. Prices you see may have increased or decreased compared to this data, because it lags one month behind. Due to the government shutdown in 2025 that prevented the collection and release of October 2025 data, we used September 2025 data instead for any month-over-month or year-over-year percent change calculations involving October 2025 data.
And even within the realm of travel, some expenses might go up, while others might go down.
The NerdWallet Travel Price Index combines data from the Consumer Price Index, weighted by the estimated spending in each category, which is based on 2019 travel expenditure data from the BLS.
Here are the spending categories considered, and how heavily each was weighted:
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