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CD Rate Forecast: Are CD Rates Going Up in 2026?
A falling-rate environment is underway in 2026 after three Fed rate cuts last year. Uncertainty about future rate cuts remains.
Spencer Tierney is a consumer banking writer at NerdWallet. He has covered personal finance since 2013, with a focus on certificates of deposit and other banking-related topics. His work has been featured by The Washington Post, USA Today, The Associated Press and the Los Angeles Times, among others. He is based in Oakland, California.
Tony Armstrong leads the banking team at NerdWallet. He has covered personal finance for over a decade. Tony began his NerdWallet career as a writer and worked his way up to editor and then to head of content on the banking team. His writing has been featured by the Los Angeles Times, MarketWatch, Mashable, Nasdaq.com, USA Today and VentureBeat. Tony lives in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
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Rates on certificates of deposit are generally trending down in 2026, with one small, notable exception: from late March to late April, a handful of online banks increased their competitive one-year CD rates. With the Fed keeping its rate steady so far this year, though, the one-year rate increases may be a temporary adjustment as banks withstand ongoing economic uncertainty.
CDs’ fixed rates can offer guaranteed returns for several months or years, and locking in a high CD rate can mean earning strong yields even if the economy enters a low-rate environment. Here’s an overview of where CD rates might be headed.
No, CD rates have been falling, especially short-term rates.Both national average and high-yield CD rates began to noticeably drop around September 2025, which is when the Federal Reserve began lowering its federal funds rate last year. Some current political and economic events may impact inflation's direction, though, making the near future of rate movements somewhat hard to predict.
Here’s a snapshot of the rate movement over the past year: From January 2025 to April 2026, the midpoint for one-year CD rates at 21 online banks and credit unions dropped from 4.00% to 3.70% annual percentage yield, according to a NerdWallet analysis. Now’s the time to take advantage of current high-yield CDs before rates drop more.
The Federal Open Market Committee's next meeting is June 16-17, 2026. This is the next scheduled time that the FOMC could modify the federal funds rate.
Despite the recent dips, CD rates are still at some of the highest in more than a decade. A big reason why rates are at such highs is the frequency with which the Fed increased its federal funds rate in 2022 and 2023. The Fed pushed up the target range of this Fed rate, which is the interest rate banks use to borrow money from each other, as one tool to curb inflation. From March 2022 to July 2023, the Fed raised its rate 11 times. The Fed made three rate cuts each in 2024 and 2025.
Banks generally adjust their rates on new CDs in the same direction as Fed rate changes. Credit unions — the not-for-profit equivalent to banks — similarly raise rates on their CDs, known as share certificates. Learn more about what Fed rate decisions mean for CDs and savings accounts.
CD rate trends
High-yield CDs tend to be at online banks and online credit unions, which have rates that are whole percentages higher than national average CD rates. For example, the national averages are 1.55% for one-year CDs and 1.34% for five-year CDs. Top one-year yields are around 4.00%, and the best five-year CD rates are closer to 3.75%.
Short-term CD rates have had higher yields than longer-term rates since the end of 2022, according to a NerdWallet analysis of national average and high-yield CDs. However, since September, short-term rates have dropped faster than long-term rates, so the gap may not last.
A savings account is a place where you can store money securely while earning interest.
Annual Percentage Yield (APY) is accurate as of June 17th, 2025. Start earning 2.50% APY, then qualify to earn 5.00% APY on your balance up to $5,000.00 and 2.50% APY on balances over $5,000 next month by 1) Receiving direct deposit(s) totaling $1,000 or more; and 2) Ending the month with a positive balance in all your Varo Accounts. No fees, no minimums required. Rates subject to change at any time.
This offer is only valid for a new Premium Savings Account (“PSA”). The Promotional Annual Percentage Yield (“Promotional APY”) will be automatically applied to the account, and will remain effective for 180 days (the “Promotion Period”), after which it will automatically revert to the Standard Annual Percentage Yield (“Standard APY”) without requiring any action from you. Accounts must be opened by 9/30/26 to qualify for the Promotional APY. No minimum balance required, and the offer may be withdrawn at any time. Excludes non-U.S. residents, and residents of any jurisdiction where this offer is not valid. Other restrictions may apply. Please visit etrade.com/premiumsavings for more information.
These cash accounts combine services and features similar to checking, savings and/or investment accounts in one product. Cash management accounts are typically offered by non-bank financial institutions.
The Base Annual Percentage Yield (APY) is 3.30% (from program banks) as of 1/30/26 and is subject to change. Eligible new clients can get a 0.75% APY boost over the base APY for 3 months on up to a $150k balance. The Direct Deposit Plus Investing Program from Wealthfront Advisers LLC and Wealthfront Brokerage LLC provides eligible clients a 0.25% APY increase above the base APY on eligible Cash Account balances. Wealthfront may change or end the program at any time and determine eligibility at its discretion. Terms apply. Full details at wealthfront.com/promo-terms. Cash Account offered by Wealthfront Brokerage LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC, and is not a bank. Base APY is representative, variable, and requires no minimum. Individual experiences and outcomes will differ. NerdWallet receives compensation from Wealthfront for referring clients through paid ads, which creates a conflict of interest; NerdWallet is not a client. Investing involves risks. Securities are not bank deposits, bank-guaranteed or FDIC-insured, and may lose value. Investment management and advisory services provided by Wealthfront Advisers LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser.
Annual percentage yield (variable) is 3.25% as of 12/12/25, plus a 0.75% boost (“APY Boost”) on balances up to $1M for new clients with a qualifying deposit. $10 min deposit for base APY. Terms apply (betterment.com/boost); if the base APY changes, the Boosted APY will change. Cash Reserve offered by Betterment LLC and requires a Betterment Securities brokerage account. Betterment is not a bank. Learn More (https://www.betterment.com/cash-portfolio).
As of 05/19/2026, the Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of the Certificates of Deposit is up to 4.05%. Your interest rate and APY may change at any time until funding is settled, and penalties may reduce earnings. Settlement date is when funds are received and posted to your account according to our Funds Availability policy, found in section 3 of the Morgan Stanley Private Bank Deposit Account Agreement. The APY is based on no withdrawal of credited interest and no redemption prior to the stated maturity date. Please visit etrade.com/ratesheet for information regarding the current interest rate, corresponding APY, and account terms.
Annual Percentage Yield (APY) is subject to change at any time without notice. Offer applies to personal non-IRA accounts only. Fees may reduce earnings. For CD accounts, a penalty may be imposed for early withdrawals. After maturity, if your CD rolls over, you will earn the offered rate of interest in effect at that time. Visit synchrony.com/banking for current rates, terms and account requirements. Member FDIC.
All Bread Savings APYs are accurate as of 05/21/2026. APYs are subject to change at any time without notice. Offers apply to personal accounts only. Fees may reduce earnings. To open a CD, a minimum of $1,500 is required and must be deposited in a single transaction. A penalty will be imposed for early withdrawals on CDs. At maturity, your CD will automatically renew and earn the base interest rate in effect at that time. Rates are compared against competitor rates published by NerdWallet.com and the institutions themselves as of 05/21/2026. NerdWallet.com obtains the data from the various banks that it tracks and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
Annual Percentage Yield (APY). APY may change at any time and fees may reduce earnings. Please visit etrade.com/ratesheet for more information. The $15 monthly account fee can be waived when you maintain an average monthly balance of at least $5,000 in the account on or after the end of the second calendar month from opening the account.
The Fed kept its rate unchanged after its third meeting of 2026, which concluded on April 29. The target rate range remains at 3.50% to 3.75%. Projections suggest that the Fed may not drop its rate for the rest of 2026, according to CME FedWatch (accessed on April 29, 2026). When the Fed rate drops, CD rates will likely follow suit, though it’s up to each bank and credit union if and when that occurs.
Inflation is expected “to remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target due in part to geopolitical events, including trade policy and the ongoing military action in the Middle East," according to a March 2026 forecast from the American Bankers Association’s Economic Advisory Committee. The committee consists of chief economists from some of the largest U.S. banks
The Fed intends to land its rates somewhere in the 3% to 3.50% range within the next year or two, according to the Fed’s March 2026 projections. However, uncertainty remains especially as tariffs, gaps in federal economic data and global conflict complicate the economic picture.
2026 data highlight: Gradual dips for high-yield CDs
CD rates at nearly two dozen online banks and credit unions have gradually fallen over the past two years. In 2026, we’re seeing mid-3% rates for high-yield CDs across terms become more common. The best short-term CDs have dropped the most since 2024, when they were in the 5% range.
CD term
Median APY: Jan. 2024
Median APY: Jan. 2025
Median APY: April 2026
6-month CD
5.00%.
4.00%.
3.50%.
1-year CD
5.10%.
4.00%.
3.70%.
3-year CD
4.25%.
3.50%.
3.45%.
5-year CD
4.00%.
3.50%.
3.40%.
See methodology details See methodology details
Medians, or midpoints, consist of APYs of CDs or share certificates collected from the websites of the following 21 financial institutions: Alliant Credit Union, Ally Bank, Andrews Federal Credit Union, Barclays, BMO Alto, Bread Savings®, Capital One, Citizens, Connexus Credit Union, Discover Bank (until 2026), EverBank, LendingClub, Live Oak Bank, Marcus by Goldman Sachs, Pentagon Federal Credit Union, Popular Direct, Quontic Bank, Sallie Mae Bank, Self-Help Credit Union, Synchrony Bank and TAB Bank. In cases where an institution doesn’t offer a specific term, the median of remaining institutions was used. Dates of collection were Jan. 26, 2024; Jan. 28, 2025; and April 27, 2026.
View a curated list of our picks based on competitive rates and terms.
Take advantage of today’s CD rates
Lock in CD rates sooner than later. CDs are typically best for specific goals, such as protecting some savings from inflation’s effects or earmarking a fixed sum for a large purchase within five years, such as a car or house.
Remember specialty CDs. If you’re unsure about getting a CD now, know that some types of CDs offer flexibility. Bump-up CDs allow you to increase the rate at least once during a CD term if new CD rates go up. But in a falling-rate environment, it’s more likely for bump-up CD rates to stay the same. No-penalty CDs give you a fixed rate plus the opportunity to jump ship for free.
Consider a CD ladder to hedge your bets. A CD ladder strategy reduces the stress around timing your CDs. Split up an investment equally into several CDs of different term lengths, such as one year, two years and three years. When each CD matures, reinvest in a longer-term CD or, if you need the cash, withdraw. Ideally, though, you can have multiple long-term CDs that mature at staggered intervals. You mix short-term CD access with long-term rates.
Compare other short-term ways to save and invest. For more everyday savings with the same low risks as CDs, consider a high-yield savings account or money market account, which have top rates around 4% APY. Or, if you’re looking to invest, consider more ways to invest your savings.
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