Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

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Updated · 1 min read
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Written by Holden Lewis
Senior Writer/Spokesperson
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Edited by Johanna Arnone
Managing Editor

Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage rates rose modestly in the week ending May 8 as the Federal Reserve declined to cut short-term interest rates. The future direction of interest rates was in doubt — even more than usual — in a time of economic uncertainty.

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.94% APR, up seven basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

  • The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.03% APR, up three basis points from the previous week's average.

  • The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 7.25% APR, up three basis points from the previous week's average.

Financial markets are forecasting that the Fed is likely to leave short-term rates alone at its next meeting, June 17-18. During this time of abrupt changes in trade policy, that consensus could change.

Fed policy has an indirect effect on mortgage rates, and central bankers are watching the same economic indicators as mortgage lenders: inflation and employment. It’s too soon to know whether the ripple effects of tariffs will drive rates up or down. You can give yourself peace of mind by locking your mortgage rate as soon as it's practical, to protect yourself from sudden rate increases.

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
580

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Veterans United - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Veterans United

Veterans United

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Veterans United - PURCHASE logo

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
0%

Check Rate

on Veterans United

May mortgage rate forecast

Mortgage rates are unpredictable even in times of economic and policy stability. The uncertainty goes into beast mode in May. Will mortgage rates rise in response to inflation caused by higher tariffs? Could rates fall in concert with a slowing economy? Either could happen — or maybe May is too early for the effects of economic policy to be seen.

Rates could fluctuate in May. The standard advice is to avoid trying to time the market. You can't know when interest rates will be at their lowest. Buy a home when you're at a time in your life when you're ready to buy, you have found the right place, and you can afford it.

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