Weekly Mortgage Rates Rise as Refi Opportunities Fluctuate

Homeowners who purchased in the last year or so could drive themselves nuts trying to find the perfect time to refinance. After all, it hurt bad enough to miss out on those once-in-a-lifetime low rates of 2020 and 2021, and it’s hard to pull the trigger when refinancing today could potentially mean missing out on even lower rates next week.

This week was a great example of how much mortgage interest rates can change in a short window of time. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate spiked 21 basis points to an average of 6.4%. That’s a whopping 51 basis points more than in the week ending Sept. 19, immediately following the last Federal Reserve meeting. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Rather than waiting for rates to hit their lowest, homeowners may be better off calculating what rate would give them a reasonable break-even point — the number of months or years it would take to recoup the refinancing costs — and make that their goal.

For instance, suppose a borrower got a $300,000 30-year conventional mortgage in early October 2023 at a rate of 7.5%, which was typical for that time. Refinancing to 6.12% — the average rate posted by Freddie Mac on Oct. 3, 2024 — would result in monthly savings of nearly $300 and savings of $80,155 over the entire life of the loan. Assuming the borrower pays $6,500 in closing costs, the break-even point would be 22 months, or just under two years.